Forex Trading and the Theory of Reflexivity

Forex Trading in Kenya.

Someone posted on here a few days ago asking about forex and forex trading in Kenya, I have gone through the responses and clearly, most people don’t have an idea. It is 3am in the morning and am in a good mood so let me make this post. This will be a comprehensive and lengthy post so grab a pen and paper and sit down. We’ll be here a while.
FIRST OF ALL, who am I..?
I am a forex trader, in Nairobi, Kenya..i have been actively involved in forex since I found out about it in Feb 2016 when I somehow ended up in a wealth creation seminar (lol) in pride inn Westlands, the one close to Mpaka Rd. Luckily for me, it was not one of those AIM global meetings or I’d be on Facebook selling God knows what those guys sell. I did not take it seriously till August of the same year and I have been active ever since.
I don’t teach, mentor or sell a course or signals, I trade my own money. I am also posting from a throwaway account because I don’t want KRA on my ass.
What the fuck is forex and forex trading.
In simple plain English, forex is like the stock market but for currencies. Stock Market = Shares, forex = currencies. If you want more in-depth explanation, google is your friend.
These currencies are pegged on specific countries, united states- dollar, UK- pound, euro zone- euro, Switzerland- Swiss franc, Kenya- Kenya shilling.. you get the point. Now, there are specific events and happenings between these economies that affect the movement and values of the currencies, driving their value (purchasing power up and down). Forex trading exploits these movements to make money. When the value is going up, we buy and vice versa (down –sell)
Is forex trading illegal in Kenya? Is it a scam?
Illegal, no. scam, no. All the banks in the world do it (KCB made about 4 billion from trading forex in 2019)
Have there been scams involving forex in Kenya?
Yes. Here is one that happened recently. This one is the most infamous one yet. Best believe that this is not the end of these type of scams because the stupidity, greed and gullibility of human beings is unfathomable.
However, by the end of this post, I hope you won’t fall for such silliness.
What next how do I make it work..?
Am glad you asked. Generally, there are two ways to go about it. One, you teach yourself. This is the equivalent of stealing our dad’s car and hoping that the pedal you hit is the brake and not the accelerator. It is the route I took, it is the most rewarding and a huge ego boost when you finally make it on your own. Typically, this involves scouring the internet for hours upon hours going down rabbit holes, thinking you have made it telling all your friends how you will be a millionaire then losing all your money. Some people do not have the stomach for that.
The second route is more practical, structured and smarter.
First Learn the basics. There is a free online forex course at www.babypips.com/learn/forex this is merely an introductory course. Basically it is learning the parts of a car before they let you inside the car.
Second, start building your strategy. By the time you are done with the babypips, you will have a feel of what the forex market is, what interests you, etc. Tip..Babypips has a lot of garbage. It is good for introductory purposes but not good for much else, pick whatever stick to you or jumps at you the first time. Nonsense like indicators should be ignored.
The next step is now the most important. Developing the skill and building your strategy. As a beginner, you want to exhaust your naivety before jumping into the more advanced stuff. Eg can you identify a trend, what is a pair, what is position sizing, what is metatrader 4 and how to operate it, what news is good for a currency, when can I trade, what are the different trading sessions, what is technical analysis, what is market sentiment, what are bullish conditions what is emotion management, how does my psychology affect my trading (more on this later) an I a swing, scalper or day trader etc
Mentors and forex courses.. you have probably seen people advertising how they can teach and mentor you on how to trade forex and charging so much money for it. Somehow it seems that these people are focused on the teaching than the trading. Weird, right..? Truth is trading is hard, teaching not quite. A common saying in the industry is “Those who can’t trade, teach” you want to avoid all these gurus on Facebook and Instagram, some are legit but most are not. Sifting the wheat from the chaff is hard but I did that for you. The info is available online on YouTube, telegram channels etc. am not saying not to spend money on a course, if you find a mentor whose style resonates with you and the course is reasonably priced, please, go ahead and buy..it will cut your learning curve in half. People are different. What worked for me might not work for you.
Here are some nice YouTube channels to watch. These guys are legit..
  1. Sam sieden
  2. Cuebanks
  3. TheCoinFx
  4. The trading channel
  5. Astro
  6. Forex family
  7. Wicksdontlie
Advanced stuff
  1. ICT
After a short period of time, you will be able to sniff out bs teachers with relative ease. You will also discover some of your own and expand the list. Two tips, start with the oldest videos first and whichever of these resonates with you, stick with till the wheels fall off.
How long will it take until things start making sense
Give yourself time to grow and learn. This is all new to you and you are allowed to make mistakes, to fail and discover yourself. Realistically, depending on the effort you put in, you will not start seeing results until after 6 months. Could take longeshorter so there is no guarantee.
Social media, Mentality, Psychology and Books
Online, forex trading might not have the best reputation online because it takes hard work and scammers and gurus give it a bad name. However, try to not get sucked into the Instagram trader lifestyle as it is nowhere close to what the reality is. You will not make millions tomorrow or the day after, you might never even make it in this market. But that is the reality of life. Nothing is promised, nothing is guaranteed.
Your mentality, beliefs and ego will be challenged in this market. You will learn things that will make you blood boil, you will ask yourself daily, how is this possible, why don’t they teach this in school..bla bla bla..it will be hard but growth is painful, if it wasn’t we’d all be billionaires. Take a break, take a walk, drink a glass of whatever you like or roll one..detox. Chill with your girl (or man) Gradually you will develop mental toughness that will set you up for life. Personally, I sorta ditched religion and picked up stoicism. Whatever works for you.
Psychology, this is unfortunately one of the most neglected aspects of your personal development in this journey. Do you believe in yourself? Can you stand by your convictions when everyone is against you? Can you get up every day uncertain of the future? There will be moments where you will question yourself, am I even doing the right thing? the right way? It is normal and essential for your growth. People who played competitive sports have a natural advantage here. Remember the game is first won in your head then on the pitch.
Books: ironically, books that helped me the most were the mindset books, Think and grow rich, trading for a living, 4 hour work week, the monk who sold his Ferrari..just google mindset and psychology books, most trading books are garbage. Watch and listen to people who have made it in the investing business. Ray Dalio, warren, Bill Ackman and Carl Icahn.
This is turning out to be lengthier than I anticipated so I’ll try to be brief for the remaining parts.
Brokers
You will need to open up an account with a broker. Get a broker who is regulated. Australian ones (IC Market and Pepperstone) are both legit, reliable and regulated. Do your research. I’d avoid local ones because I’ve heard stories of wide spreads and liquidity problems. International brokers have never failed me. There are plenty brokers, there is no one size fits all recommendation. If it ain’t broke..don’t fix it.
Money transfer.
All brokers accept wire transfers, you might need to call your bank to authorize that, avoid Equity bank. Stanchart and Stanbic are alright. Large withdrawals $10k+ you will have to call them prior. Get Skrill and Neteller if you don’t like banks like me, set up a Bitcoin wallet for faster withdrawals, (Payoneer and Paypal are accepted by some brokers, just check with them.)
How much money can I make..?
I hate this question because people have perceived ceilings of income in their minds, eg 1 million ksh is too much to make per month or 10,000ksh is too little. Instead, work backwards. What % return did I make this month/ on this trade. Safaricom made 19.5% last year, if you make 20% you have outperformed them. If you reach of consistency where you can make x% per month on whatever money you have, then there are no limits to how much you can make.
How much money do I need to start with..?
Zero. You have all the resources above, go forth. There are brokers who provide free bonuses and withdraw-able profits. However, to make a fulltime income you will need some serious cash. Generally, 50,000 kes. You can start lower or higher but if you need say 20k to live comfortably and that is a 10% return per month, then you can do the math on how big your account should be. Of course things like compound interest come into play but that is dependent on your skill level. I have seen people do spectacular things with very little funds.
Taxes..?
Talk to a lawyer or an accountant. I am neither.
Family? Friends?
Unfortunately, people will not understand why you spend hundreds of hours watching strangers on the internet so it is best to keep it from them. Eventually you will make it work and they will come to your corner talking about how they always knew you’d make it.
The journey will be lonely, make some trading buddies along the way. You’d be surprised at how easy it is when people are united by their circumstances (and stupidity) I have guys who are my bros from South Africa and Lebanon who I have never met but we came up together and are now homies. Join forums, ask questions and grow. That is the only way to learn. Ideally, a group of 5-10 friends committed to learning and growth is the best model. Pushing each other to grow and discovering together.
Forex is real and you can do amazing things with it. It is not a get rich quick scheme. If you want a quick guaranteed income, get a job.
And now it is 5am, fuck.
This is oversimplified and leaves out many many aspects.
Happy to answer any questions.
submitted by ChaliFlaniwaNairobi to Kenya [link] [comments]

Advice for a new trader - how to determine a good opportunity

Hello everyone. I'm writing this for a friend of mine who wants to start daytrading stocks. My experience is working as charting platform tech support for a forex dealing desk for 5 years but never really trading beyond demo accounts. This is just stuff I've gleaned from that job. All my links are from babypips.com because that's what I'm familiar with.
Please chime in if I screwed something up or if you have a comment, a favorite bookmark, or a book that you wish you had when you first started out.
His question:
How do you figure out what to buy and when to sell it?
My answer: Unless you understand your own reasons to make a trade, you're just guessing and the odds will not be in your favor. Keep emotion out of your decision making process or it's no better than a casino.
The three ways to identify a good market:

Technical indicators:

Indicators are lines drawn on your chart either directly on the price chart or tucked in a subgraph below the chart.
There are hundreds of technical indicators that you can learn, but the most common indicators are called Moving Averages, specifically the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to identify trends. See the image below they have highlighted where the SMAs have crossed above and below eachother. Those would've been good times to buy or sell:
http://i.imgur.com/AhhG9PX.png

News/Sentiment

This means actively reading twitter and news and forums and getting a feel for how people feel about the market.
If you were interested in investing in Yahoo right now, you would probably find a hostile sentiment because of the terrible new CEO, their recent email hacks and password leaks, and just overall dissatisfaction with every product they offer (news, search, email, etc).
With Tesla's new Gigafactory officially pumping out batteries this week, they might be a good target to trade the news with as people finally start to buy and use their product en masse. But keep watching the news because prices will dip if folks start getting into accidents due to a defect.

Fundamental Analysis

Understanding things like interest rates, laws that affect the each market, where a company gets its supplies, and deeper events and circumstances that will drive the market. Cause and effect.
For example if more governors like Michigan Governor Snyder cut food stamps in half, more families would be buying Great Value than Kraft and Kellogg's. Or would they be buying more Kraft and Kellogg's but less produce? Someone out there knows because that's part of their strategy.
I would skim over everything at the bottom of this page: http://www.babypips.com/school
Edit:typos
submitted by dixie-rekt to Daytrading [link] [comments]

Autolinking New TLDs Test

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LPF Annual Review 2018 - Seminars, Events & More Property Forum Chat Show hosted by Nicholas Wallwork Make Money Online  - Penny Matrix - A Brilliant Way to Make Money Online CEO of Facts Live Stream We need your help naming something CRAZY that I made out of SILVER! BMW Group Event Forum - BMW Welt eventlocations 10-03-19 Convention and Visitors Bureau Advisory Committee Meeting

Apply for Government issued passports, driving license https Erprobte Strategien, aussichtsreiche Marktsituationen und andere Infos mit Mehrwert finden in diesem Forum PLatz 1 Beitrag • Seite 1 von 1 Access study documents, get answers to your study questions, and connect with real tutors for ECON 101 : Forex at American Public University. Dude, the fact is that since you returned to the forum, most of what you do is getting into silly off-topic arguments, steadily "taking parts" that no one asked for (like you're looking for conflict). Were you severely bullied at school? Cause you really seem psychologically damaged in a pathological way, constantly projecting your insecurities towards others, as if they were directly against ... You cannot learn how to drive in a driving school where the teacher cannot drive. Next time you want to learn any business, please make sure you approach someone with a proven track record in the business. Many forex trainers do not have performance history of even 3 months. Forget all the sweet talk, proof is everything. 3. Pressure - In my ... We have recently added a live chat room to the Forex Masonry group. Even though the forum is real-time, the chat room is faster and something traders benefit from a lot. The chat room is used almost entirely for posting trades as they are found, so come in and join the group. If you see a nice setup, share what you see. If you are looking for a trade to take, other members will post what they ... I'm not normally a fussy bastard but its driving me crazy. We are all One. Be present. Be the Observer ... If we all went to trade school and progressed through trading like an apprentice with an instructor passing out yearly and moving onto the next step we would probably all pass out as traders that make consistent money But we dont do that ... we are all individuals at home gleaning what ... Forex Stock Exchange Forum :: Forex and Stock Trading English Forum :: Forex School. Tweet. time is money. Number of messages: 489 Points: 2918 Date of Entry: 2015-04-03 Year: 30. Forex Trading and the Theory of Reflexivity. on Sat Jun 06, 2015 4:31 pm. Based on the work of sociologists William Thomas and Robert K Merton, and later the work of philosopher Karl Popper, the theory of reflexivity ... Here you can ask any questions regarding access to the closed forum of Masterforex-V Academy and its Education Program. p.s.: I constantly receive questions through e-mail. Many times I receive same questions from different people. These constantly repeated questions I will add in to this topic. 0 Back to top; MultiQuote; Reply #2 FxShark . VIP Member; Group: MF Rektorate; Posts: 1,047; Joined ... Forex news from ForexLive. The fastest Foreign Exchange market reporting and analysis. Live Forex and economic news. Technical analysis, headlines, Live quotes. Upgrade your FINVIZ experience. Join thousands of traders who make more informed decisions with our premium features. Real-time quotes, advanced visualizations, backtesting, and much more.

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LPF Annual Review 2018 - Seminars, Events & More

BMW M Performance Driving School - What to ... Buildjournal 47,549 views. 4:54. BMW Welt - Impressionen - Duration: 12:45. Motoren & Mehr 20,336 views. 12:45. Forex Trading: What I Do to Afford a ... Stanford Graduate School of Business Recommended for ... Parking Frenzy 3D Simulator Bus Driving Ultimate Mr. Joe Police Car Toys BIBO Construction Vehicles Johnny 2,406 watching. Live now; Gideon ... LIVE Forex Trading - LONDON, Mon, May, 18th (Free Education) Trade With Monty 1,450 watching Live now How to Make Money if you're a Kid or Teenager in High School - Duration: 9:52. Driving By Bus FOR 1 YEAR, But Every Like Makes It Faster (World Record) KevinPlay 4,804 watching Live now LIVE Forex Trading - LONDON, Tue , July, 28th (Free Education) Trade With Monty 1,156 ... Hillsboro School District School Board Meeting, ... AR/VR - Women Driving Innovation SIG - October 2019 - Duration: 52:57. Atlanta Innovation Forum 8,421 views. 52:57. Forex.Today: - Live Forex ... In this episode of The Property Forum Chat Show, Nicholas Wallwork (Property Forum’s CEO) talks to Paul Mahoney (CEO of Nova Financial) to discuss the Corona Virus situation The Coronavirus ... LIVE Forex Trading - LONDON, Thu, June, 4th (Free Education) Trade With Monty 1,417 watching Live now Bus Driving Ultimate Experiments Mr. Joe on Police Lamborghini Car Cartoon Parking Frenzy Cars ...

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